INSPIRING FUTURES

Future of Interactive technologies.

Mohammed, Nadia (2011) Future of Interactive technologies. PhD thesis, Edinburgh Napier Universtiy.

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      Abstract/Description

      The concept of interactivity continuously enhances our day-to-day living,
      allowing us to experience a more convenient and enjoyable life style.
      Existing analogue technologies such as the internet, mobile phone and
      satellite have now entered their digital phase, making it possible to increase
      their capacity for interactivity. The technologies which provide this
      increased interactivity, namely the internet, mobile and television, are
      classed as interactive technologies. Television has been successful at
      marketing, having launched an interactivity interface known as iTV which
      initially offered superior commercial prospects. However, after a decade,
      the iTV industry is still quite young and has not reached its full potential.
      This thesis adopts a range of research methodology with which to forecast
      the future of interactive technologies, especially interactive TV (iTV).
      The uptake of new interactive technologies depends on many factors,
      notably the existing infrastructure in the country of adoption, cultural
      attitudes to new technology, the radicalism of the technology, social
      influences and interactions and ease of use, quality and cost. Beyond these,
      many other significant factors influence the acceptance of interactive
      technologies, the focus of this thesis is to ascertain the importance of those
      factors mentioned on technology adoption.
      This study has adopted technological and judgemental forecasting
      techniques to predict the future of interactive technologies, following which
      Cross- Cultural and Technology Acceptance studies were carried out to
      investigate interactive technology adoption. In the Cross-Cultural study,
      survey data were collected from the UK, Hong Kong and Pakistan so as to
      examine cultural factors pertaining to the likelihood of adoption, while
      Growth Curves were used to model and forecast future levels of adoption.
      Then technology trends in different countries were collected from the global
      marketing database Euromonitor. The Growth Curves, applied to a selection
      of interactive technologies, were evaluated and compared to identify the most useful model with which to forecast the future of interactive
      technologies. The findings identified the Bass Model, Simple Logistic
      Model and Gompertz Model as the most suitable models for the purpose,
      with different models identified as best for different cultures.
      The Judgemental study established that WWW will be the dominant service
      provider for financial services such as banking or financial products, while
      iTV will be the dominant service provider for entertainment. WWW will in
      fact be the dominant provider for most of the services, followed by iTV and
      then WAP. It is most likely that WWW, WAP and iTV will exhibit
      technology convergence in 20 years’ time and in all probability will
      converge into WWW.
      Further to this the Cross-Cultural study confirmed that there are significant
      differences between cultures regarding the acceptance of interactive
      technologies, as it is affected by demographic and social interactions and
      influences. In addition, the study showed that each interactive technology
      has its own significant elements which influence its acceptance. Overall, the
      key elements identified as influencing acceptance of interactive
      technologies were Knowledge and Confidence, followed by the number of
      hours the individual spends with his or her family.
      The Technology Acceptance study identified a technology acceptance
      model for each interactive technology: WWW, WAP and iTV, which
      established the factors expected to influence the future growth of the
      technology. Managing these significant elements will assist further in
      promoting the growth of interactive technologies

      Item Type: Thesis (PhD)
      Uncontrolled Keywords: Interactivity; interactive technologies; mobile phone; internet; television; iTV; forecasting; WAP;
      University Divisions/Research Centres: The Business School > School of Accounting, Economics and Statistics
      Dewey Decimal Subjects: 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics > 338 Production > 338.4 Secondary industries and services > 338.47 Services & products
      Library of Congress Subjects: H Social Sciences > HE Transportation and Communications
      Item ID: 4659
      Depositing User: Mrs Lyn Gibson
      Date Deposited: 17 Oct 2011 09:17
      Last Modified: 17 Oct 2011 09:17
      URI: http://researchrepository.napier.ac.uk/id/eprint/4659

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